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Prelims1 Welterweight

Gabe Green vs Yohan Lainesse

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Gabe Green
Yohan Lainesse
58% 42%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
W1
Current streak
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Green: 48 sig / 0 TD · Lainesse: 41 sig / 2 TD
Gabe Green
Yohan Lainesse
51
Sig strikes landed
57
111
Sig strikes attempted
139
68
Total strikes landed
80
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
113s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Gabe Green

"Gifted"
13-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
L UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
Blue corner

Yohan Lainesse

"White Lion"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30