Main
Welterweight
Gilbert Burns vs Khamzat Chimaev
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Gilbert Burns
Khamzat Chimaev
37%
63%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
23-10
Career record
Δ 24 pp
16-1
W1
Current streak
W4
17
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Burns: 119 sig / 0 TD ·
Chimaev: 108 sig / 2 TD
Gilbert Burns
Khamzat Chimaev
38
Sig strikes landed
33
48
Sig strikes attempted
74
50
Total strikes landed
46
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
78s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gilbert Burns
"Durinho"
23-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
17 fights · 13-4
Last 5
W
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
L
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W4
Khamzat Chimaev
"Borz"
16-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—