🏆 Title fight
Main
Bantamweight
Aljamain Sterling vs Petr Yan
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Aljamain Sterling
Petr Yan
68%
32%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
33
Age
Δ 4y
29
27-5
Career record
Δ 4 pp
21-5
W6
Current streak
W1
15
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Sterling: 62 sig / 2 TD ·
Yan: 63 sig / 0 TD
Aljamain Sterling
Petr Yan
79
Sig strikes landed
94
199
Sig strikes attempted
179
119
Total strikes landed
121
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
13.3
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
220s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
27-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
15 fights · 12-3
Last 5
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
Blue corner
W1
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
21-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
9 fights · 8-1
Last 5
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—