Prelims1
Middleweight
Anthony Hernandez vs Josh Fremd
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Anthony Hernandez
Josh Fremd
72%
28%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
W1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hernandez: 48 sig / 8 TD ·
Fremd: 31 sig / 1 TD
Anthony Hernandez
Josh Fremd
29
Sig strikes landed
29
54
Sig strikes attempted
61
49
Total strikes landed
40
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
202s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
16-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
Blue corner
Josh Fremd
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28