Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Aspen Ladd vs Raquel Pennington
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Aspen Ladd
Raquel Pennington
67%
33%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
27
Age
Δ 6y
34
9-4
Career record
Δ 6 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
W3
6
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ladd: 65 sig / 2 TD ·
Pennington: 114 sig / 0 TD
Aspen Ladd
Raquel Pennington
42
Sig strikes landed
57
100
Sig strikes attempted
107
78
Total strikes landed
84
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
163s
Control time
186s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Aspen Ladd
9-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
Blue corner
W3
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—