Back to UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
Prelims1 Welterweight

Dwight Grant vs Sergey Khandozhko

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Dwight Grant
Sergey Khandozhko
14% 86%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
38
Age
Δ 8y
30
11-7
Career record
Δ 17 pp
28-7-1
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Grant: 42 sig / 1 TD · Khandozhko: 49 sig / 1 TD
Dwight Grant
Sergey Khandozhko
31
Sig strikes landed
49
95
Sig strikes attempted
110
43
Total strikes landed
53
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
1.40
17s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
5%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dwight Grant

"The Body Snatcher"
11-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
38
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
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W UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
L1

Sergey Khandozhko

"Honda"
28-7-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
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