Back to UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Tyson Pedro vs Ike Villanueva

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Tyson Pedro
Ike Villanueva
74% 26%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 6"
73"
31
Age
Δ 8y
38
10-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
18-15
L2
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pedro: 22 sig / 0 TD · Villanueva: 4 sig / 0 TD
Tyson Pedro
Ike Villanueva
33
Sig strikes landed
18
55
Sig strikes attempted
27
50
Total strikes landed
27
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
96s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Tyson Pedro

10-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
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W UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
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L UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
Blue corner
L2

Ike Villanueva

"Hurricane"
18-15
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
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L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
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W UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
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L UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—