Main
Catch Weight
Jordan Wright vs Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jordan Wright
Marc-Andre Barriault
60%
40%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
12-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
17-12
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Wright: 12 sig / 2 TD ·
Barriault: 13 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Wright
Marc-Andre Barriault
49
Sig strikes landed
33
101
Sig strikes attempted
71
54
Total strikes landed
45
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
96s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jordan Wright
"The Beverly Hills Ninja"
12-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
Blue corner
L1
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
17-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
L
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—