Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Preston Parsons
Evan Elder
44%
56%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
27
Age
Δ 2y
25
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Parsons: 75 sig / 4 TD ·
Elder: 27 sig / 0 TD
Preston Parsons
Evan Elder
31
Sig strikes landed
39
57
Sig strikes attempted
64
43
Total strikes landed
55
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
108s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Preston Parsons
"Pressure"
11-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
Blue corner
Evan Elder
"The Phenom"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
25