Main
Women's Flyweight
Maycee Barber vs Montana De La Rosa
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Maycee Barber
Montana De La Rosa
74%
26%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
24
Age
Δ 3y
27
16-3
Career record
Δ 26 pp
14-9-1
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barber: 50 sig / 1 TD ·
De La Rosa: 14 sig / 1 TD
Maycee Barber
Montana De La Rosa
44
Sig strikes landed
42
93
Sig strikes attempted
99
70
Total strikes landed
72
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
146s
Control time
216s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Maycee Barber
"The Future"
16-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
Blue corner
W1
Montana De La Rosa
14-9-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—