Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Chris Barnett
Martin Buday
46%
54%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
36
Age
Δ 5y
30
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barnett: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Buday: 56 sig / 0 TD
Chris Barnett
Martin Buday
37
Sig strikes landed
41
72
Sig strikes attempted
86
52
Total strikes landed
53
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
72s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Chris Barnett
"Beastboy"
24-10
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
Blue corner
Martin Buday
"Badys"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30