Back to UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Cory McKenna vs Elise Reed

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall ·The O2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Cory McKenna
Elise Reed
75% 25%
Why
58"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
23
Age
Δ 7y
29
9-4
Career record
Δ 12 pp
8-6
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
McKenna: 60 sig / 3 TD · Reed: 76 sig / 0 TD
Cory McKenna
Elise Reed
47
Sig strikes landed
41
118
Sig strikes attempted
101
67
Total strikes landed
64
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
239s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Cory McKenna

"Poppins"
9-4
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
59"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
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Blue corner
L1

Elise Reed

8-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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