Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jack Shore
Timur Valiev
64%
36%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
18-3
Career record
Δ 1 pp
19-3
W4
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Shore: 70 sig / 3 TD ·
Valiev: 72 sig / 2 TD
Jack Shore
Timur Valiev
50
Sig strikes landed
45
110
Sig strikes attempted
103
77
Total strikes landed
69
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.9
5.2
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
181s
Control time
167s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Jack Shore
"Tank"
18-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W2
Timur Valiev
"Lucky"
19-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—