Prelims1
Featherweight
Mike Grundy vs Makwan Amirkhani
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Mike Grundy
Makwan Amirkhani
56%
44%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
12-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
17-10
L2
Current streak
L3
3
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Grundy: 0 sig / 1 TD ·
Amirkhani: 0 sig / 0 TD
Mike Grundy
Makwan Amirkhani
28
Sig strikes landed
24
47
Sig strikes attempted
51
46
Total strikes landed
41
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
98s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Mike Grundy
12-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
Blue corner
L3
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
17-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—