Prelims1
Welterweight
Ramiz Brahimaj vs Micheal Gillmore
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ramiz Brahimaj
Micheal Gillmore
78%
22%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
29
Age
Δ 6y
35
13-7
Career record
Δ 15 pp
6-6
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Brahimaj: 0 sig / 1 TD ·
Gillmore: 0 sig / 0 TD
Ramiz Brahimaj
Micheal Gillmore
32
Sig strikes landed
33
59
Sig strikes attempted
55
49
Total strikes landed
38
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
171s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ramiz Brahimaj
13-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
Blue corner
L1
Micheal Gillmore
"The Gentleman"
6-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—