Back to UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
Prelims1 Welterweight

Ramiz Brahimaj vs Micheal Gillmore

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ramiz Brahimaj
Micheal Gillmore
78% 22%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
29
Age
Δ 6y
35
13-7
Career record
Δ 15 pp
6-6
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Brahimaj: 0 sig / 1 TD · Gillmore: 0 sig / 0 TD
Ramiz Brahimaj
Micheal Gillmore
32
Sig strikes landed
33
59
Sig strikes attempted
55
49
Total strikes landed
38
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
171s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ramiz Brahimaj

13-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
Blue corner
L1

Micheal Gillmore

"The Gentleman"
6-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…