Prelims1
Featherweight
Alejandro Perez vs Jonathan Martinez
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alejandro Perez
Jonathan Martinez
46%
54%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
32
Age
Δ 5y
28
24-9-1
Career record
Δ 6 pp
20-6
W1
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Perez: 52 sig / 0 TD ·
Martinez: 74 sig / 0 TD
Alejandro Perez
Jonathan Martinez
40
Sig strikes landed
54
110
Sig strikes attempted
116
54
Total strikes landed
71
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
93s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alejandro Perez
"Turbo"
24-9-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
12 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
L
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jonathan Martinez
"Dragon"
20-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—