Prelims1
Lightweight
Terrance McKinney vs Fares Ziam
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Terrance McKinney
Fares Ziam
46%
54%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
27
Age
Δ 2y
25
19-8
Career record
Δ 12 pp
19-4
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
McKinney: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Ziam: 1 sig / 0 TD
Terrance McKinney
Fares Ziam
28
Sig strikes landed
24
58
Sig strikes attempted
60
34
Total strikes landed
39
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
311s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
19-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
Blue corner
W2
Fares Ziam
"The Smile Killer"
19-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—