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Prelims1 Women's Featherweight

Josiane Nunes vs Ramona Pascual

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Josiane Nunes
Ramona Pascual
79% 21%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nunes: 98 sig / 0 TD · Pascual: 52 sig / 3 TD
Josiane Nunes
Ramona Pascual
49
Sig strikes landed
38
122
Sig strikes attempted
112
68
Total strikes landed
53
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.70
Knockdowns
0.00
94s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Josiane Nunes

"Josi"
11-4
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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Blue corner

Ramona Pascual

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33