Main
Middleweight
Armen Petrosyan vs Gregory Rodrigues
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Armen Petrosyan
Gregory Rodrigues
33%
67%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
—
Current streak
W2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Petrosyan: 127 sig / 0 TD ·
Rodrigues: 61 sig / 2 TD
Armen Petrosyan
Gregory Rodrigues
33
Sig strikes landed
49
88
Sig strikes attempted
93
44
Total strikes landed
71
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
69s
Control time
173s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Armen Petrosyan
"Superman"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
W2
Gregory Rodrigues
"Robocop"
20-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
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