Back to UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Diana Belbita vs Gloria de Paula

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Diana Belbita
Gloria de Paula
72% 28%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
16-10
Career record
Δ 12 pp
6-6
W1
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Belbita: 87 sig / 0 TD · de Paula: 88 sig / 1 TD
Diana Belbita
Gloria de Paula
49
Sig strikes landed
49
102
Sig strikes attempted
110
76
Total strikes landed
62
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.5
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
131s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Diana Belbita

"The Warrior Princess"
16-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
L UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
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Blue corner
L2

Gloria de Paula

"Glorinha"
6-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
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