Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Chad Anheliger
Jesse Strader
54%
46%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
35
Age
Δ 5y
31
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Anheliger: 67 sig / 0 TD ·
Strader: 64 sig / 4 TD
Chad Anheliger
Jesse Strader
37
Sig strikes landed
34
54
Sig strikes attempted
67
53
Total strikes landed
35
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
162s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Chad Anheliger
"The Monster"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
Blue corner
L1
Jesse Strader
"Sui Generis"
5-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
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