Back to UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Prelims1 Featherweight

Jonathan Pearce vs Christian Rodriguez

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jonathan Pearce
Christian Rodriguez
42% 58%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
30
Age
Δ 6y
24
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pearce: 18 sig / 6 TD · Rodriguez: 26 sig / 2 TD
Jonathan Pearce
Christian Rodriguez
28
Sig strikes landed
29
58
Sig strikes attempted
51
46
Total strikes landed
47
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
207s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Jonathan Pearce

"JSP"
15-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
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L UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
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Blue corner

Christian Rodriguez

"Ceerod"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24