Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Parker Porter
Alan Baudot
63%
37%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
79"
37
Age
Δ 3y
34
15-9
Career record
Δ 10 pp
8-3
W2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Porter: 43 sig / 2 TD ·
Baudot: 55 sig / 0 TD
Parker Porter
Alan Baudot
40
Sig strikes landed
40
89
Sig strikes attempted
111
71
Total strikes landed
59
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.7
3.4
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
200s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Parker Porter
15-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
L
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
Blue corner
L1
Alan Baudot
"The Black Samourai"
8-3
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—