Back to UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Main Middleweight

Joaquin Buckley vs Abdul Razak Alhassan

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Joaquin Buckley
Abdul Razak Alhassan
86% 14%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
28
Age
Δ 9y
36
22-8
Career record
Δ 8 pp
13-7
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Buckley: 51 sig / 5 TD · Razak Alhassan: 46 sig / 3 TD
Joaquin Buckley
Abdul Razak Alhassan
37
Sig strikes landed
26
82
Sig strikes attempted
63
54
Total strikes landed
32
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
103s
Control time
38s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Joaquin Buckley

"New Mansa"
22-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
W UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
Blue corner
W1

Abdul Razak Alhassan

13-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—