Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Gabriel Benitez
David Onama
43%
57%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
23-14
Career record
Δ 16 pp
14-4
L1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Benitez: 46 sig / 0 TD ·
Onama: 36 sig / 0 TD
Gabriel Benitez
David Onama
58
Sig strikes landed
63
127
Sig strikes attempted
121
66
Total strikes landed
66
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
94s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Gabriel Benitez
"Moggly"
23-14
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
L
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
Blue corner
L1
David Onama
14-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—