Back to UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Prelims1 Middleweight

Dalcha Lungiambula vs Cody Brundage

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev ·Meta Apex
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Dalcha Lungiambula
Cody Brundage
60% 40%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
11-7
Career record
Δ 9 pp
12-10-1
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Lungiambula: 29 sig / 1 TD · Brundage: 4 sig / 1 TD
Dalcha Lungiambula
Cody Brundage
37
Sig strikes landed
31
68
Sig strikes attempted
67
55
Total strikes landed
52
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
235s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dalcha Lungiambula

"Champion"
11-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
L1

Cody Brundage

12-10-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—