Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Sabina Mazo vs Miranda Maverick
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Sabina Mazo
Miranda Maverick
49%
51%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
25
Age
Δ 0y
25
9-5
Career record
Δ 7 pp
17-7
L2
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Mazo: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Maverick: 19 sig / 4 TD
Sabina Mazo
Miranda Maverick
61
Sig strikes landed
68
148
Sig strikes attempted
142
78
Total strikes landed
90
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
0.8
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
75s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Sabina Mazo
"Colombian Queen"
9-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
Blue corner
L2
Miranda Maverick
"Fear The"
17-7
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—