Prelims1
Featherweight
Damon Jackson vs Kamuela Kirk
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Damon Jackson
Kamuela Kirk
71%
29%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
24-8-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
13-6
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Jackson: 32 sig / 2 TD ·
Kirk: 22 sig / 0 TD
Damon Jackson
Kamuela Kirk
24
Sig strikes landed
24
58
Sig strikes attempted
49
42
Total strikes landed
43
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
278s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
40%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Damon Jackson
"The Leech"
24-8-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 2-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
D
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
L
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
Blue corner
W1
Kamuela Kirk
"The Jawaiian"
13-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—