Back to UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Trevin Jones vs Javid Basharat

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Trevin Jones
Javid Basharat
27% 73%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
32
Age
Δ 5y
26
L1
Current streak
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3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jones: 62 sig / 0 TD · Basharat: 89 sig / 0 TD
Trevin Jones
Javid Basharat
25
Sig strikes landed
25
49
Sig strikes attempted
39
45
Total strikes landed
42
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
219s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Trevin Jones

"5 Star"
13-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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W UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
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Blue corner

Javid Basharat

"The Snow Leopard"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27