Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
JJ Aldrich vs Gillian Robertson
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
JJ Aldrich
Gillian Robertson
48%
52%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
29
Age
Δ 3y
27
16-7
Career record
Δ 0 pp
18-8
W2
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Aldrich: 60 sig / 0 TD ·
Robertson: 52 sig / 1 TD
JJ Aldrich
Gillian Robertson
37
Sig strikes landed
38
71
Sig strikes attempted
82
63
Total strikes landed
75
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.0
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
116s
Control time
275s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
JJ Aldrich
16-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
Blue corner
W1
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
18-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—