Main
Light Heavyweight
Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Karl Roberson
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Karl Roberson
75%
25%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
16-7
Career record
Δ 13 pp
9-7
W1
Current streak
L2
11
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Rountree Jr.: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Roberson: 17 sig / 0 TD
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Karl Roberson
23
Sig strikes landed
25
52
Sig strikes attempted
49
32
Total strikes landed
33
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.60
Knockdowns
0.20
72s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
65%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Khalil Rountree Jr.
16-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 5-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
L
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
Blue corner
L2
Karl Roberson
"Baby K"
9-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—