Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sodiq Yusuff
Alex Caceres
69%
31%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
13-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
22-15
L1
Current streak
W5
5
UFC fights in our DB
25
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yusuff: 64 sig / 1 TD ·
Caceres: 66 sig / 1 TD
Sodiq Yusuff
Alex Caceres
52
Sig strikes landed
67
123
Sig strikes attempted
135
65
Total strikes landed
81
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
131s
Control time
48s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Sodiq Yusuff
"Super"
13-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
Blue corner
W5
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
22-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
25 fights · 14-10
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—