Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Alex Pereira
Bruno Silva
57%
43%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
14-3
Career record
Δ 17 pp
24-13
W1
Current streak
W3
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pereira: 108 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 59 sig / 2 TD
Alex Pereira
Bruno Silva
29
Sig strikes landed
22
58
Sig strikes attempted
46
32
Total strikes landed
32
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
74s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
19%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alex Pereira
"Poatan"
14-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
Blue corner
W3
Bruno Silva
"Blindado"
24-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—