Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jason Witt
Phil Rowe
56%
44%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 10"
80"
35
Age
Δ 4y
32
20-9
Career record
Δ 6 pp
12-7
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Witt: 8 sig / 4 TD ·
Rowe: 8 sig / 0 TD
Jason Witt
Phil Rowe
29
Sig strikes landed
29
63
Sig strikes attempted
60
46
Total strikes landed
43
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
184s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jason Witt
"The Vanilla Gorilla"
20-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
Blue corner
W1
Phil Rowe
"The Fresh Prince"
12-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
L
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—