Back to UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Prelims1 Flyweight

Malcolm Gordon vs Denys Bondar

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Malcolm Gordon
Denys Bondar
45% 55%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Gordon: 3 sig / 1 TD · Bondar: 4 sig / 1 TD
Malcolm Gordon
Denys Bondar
27
Sig strikes landed
35
56
Sig strikes attempted
59
41
Total strikes landed
53
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
151s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Malcolm Gordon

"X"
15-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
L UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
Blue corner

Denys Bondar

"Psycho"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30