Main
Middleweight
Punahele Soriano vs Nick Maximov
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Punahele Soriano
Nick Maximov
60%
40%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
29
Age
Δ 5y
24
13-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
9-2
L1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Soriano: 45 sig / 0 TD ·
Maximov: 29 sig / 11 TD
Punahele Soriano
Nick Maximov
32
Sig strikes landed
27
70
Sig strikes attempted
95
56
Total strikes landed
56
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.4
0.3
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
104s
Control time
271s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Punahele Soriano
"Puna"
13-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
Blue corner
W1
Nick Maximov
9-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—