Main
Middleweight
Jack Hermansson vs Sean Strickland
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jack Hermansson
Sean Strickland
30%
70%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
25-10
Career record
Δ 11 pp
32-7
W1
Current streak
W5
13
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Hermansson: 137 sig / 0 TD ·
Strickland: 153 sig / 0 TD
Jack Hermansson
Sean Strickland
66
Sig strikes landed
72
163
Sig strikes attempted
160
71
Total strikes landed
94
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
97s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
25-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
Blue corner
W5
Sean Strickland
32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
14 fights · 11-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—