Back to UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Alexis Davis vs Julija Stoliarenko

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland ·Meta Apex
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Alexis Davis
Julija Stoliarenko
70% 30%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
37
Age
Δ 8y
29
21-12
Career record
Δ 18 pp
11-11-2
L1
Current streak
L3
13
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Davis: 85 sig / 1 TD · Stoliarenko: 56 sig / 0 TD
Alexis Davis
Julija Stoliarenko
56
Sig strikes landed
47
105
Sig strikes attempted
117
97
Total strikes landed
82
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
263s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Alexis Davis

21-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
Blue corner
L3

Julija Stoliarenko

11-11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—