Prelims1
Middleweight
Chidi Njokuani vs Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chidi Njokuani
Marc-Andre Barriault
73%
27%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
—
Current streak
W2
0
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Njokuani: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Barriault: 2 sig / 0 TD
Chidi Njokuani
Marc-Andre Barriault
59
Sig strikes landed
47
127
Sig strikes attempted
101
75
Total strikes landed
70
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
121s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Chidi Njokuani
"Bang Bang"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner
W2
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
18-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 2-3
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