Prelims1
Featherweight
Hakeem Dawodu vs Michael Trizano
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Hakeem Dawodu
Michael Trizano
61%
39%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
31
Age
Δ 0y
30
13-5-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
12-3
L1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dawodu: 141 sig / 0 TD ·
Trizano: 70 sig / 1 TD
Hakeem Dawodu
Michael Trizano
52
Sig strikes landed
52
104
Sig strikes attempted
117
75
Total strikes landed
61
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
127s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Hakeem Dawodu
"Mean"
13-5-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
Blue corner
W1
Michael Trizano
"The Lone Wolf"
12-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—