Main
Lightweight
Marc Diakiese vs Viacheslav Borshchev
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
·Nationwide Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marc Diakiese
Viacheslav Borshchev
77%
23%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
17-8
Career record
Δ 15 pp
9-7-1
L2
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Diakiese: 17 sig / 11 TD ·
Borshchev: 12 sig / 0 TD
Marc Diakiese
Viacheslav Borshchev
26
Sig strikes landed
26
68
Sig strikes attempted
62
37
Total strikes landed
37
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
152s
Control time
39s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Marc Diakiese
"Bonecrusher"
17-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
Blue corner
W1
Viacheslav Borshchev
"Slava Claus"
9-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—