Main
Women's Flyweight
Joanne Wood vs Alexa Grasso
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
·Nationwide Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joanne Wood
Alexa Grasso
40%
60%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
36
Age
Δ 8y
29
17-9
Career record
Δ 10 pp
18-5-1
L2
Current streak
W2
14
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Wood: 34 sig / 0 TD ·
Grasso: 16 sig / 2 TD
Joanne Wood
Alexa Grasso
72
Sig strikes landed
66
147
Sig strikes attempted
145
96
Total strikes landed
98
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
135s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Joanne Wood
"JoJo"
17-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
14 fights · 7-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
W
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
Blue corner
W2
Alexa Grasso
18-5-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—