Main
Catch Weight
Rafael Dos Anjos vs Renato Moicano
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Rafael Dos Anjos
Renato Moicano
54%
46%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
37
Age
Δ 5y
33
33-17
Career record
Δ 7 pp
22-7-1
W1
Current streak
W2
27
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Dos Anjos: 149 sig / 5 TD ·
Moicano: 88 sig / 0 TD
Rafael Dos Anjos
Renato Moicano
73
Sig strikes landed
58
119
Sig strikes attempted
136
80
Total strikes landed
75
2.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
7.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
418s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rafael Dos Anjos
33-17
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
27 fights · 18-9
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
Blue corner
W2
Renato Moicano
22-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
L
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—