Back to UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Nicolae Negumereanu vs Kennedy Nzechukwu

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Nicolae Negumereanu
Kennedy Nzechukwu
65% 35%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 5"
83"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
14-2
Career record
Δ 24 pp
14-7-1
W2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Negumereanu: 64 sig / 1 TD · Nzechukwu: 95 sig / 0 TD
Nicolae Negumereanu
Kennedy Nzechukwu
31
Sig strikes landed
38
67
Sig strikes attempted
77
45
Total strikes landed
49
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.2
4.1
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
167s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Nicolae Negumereanu

14-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
W UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
L UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
Blue corner
L1

Kennedy Nzechukwu

"Chosen"
14-7-1
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
W UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…