Prelims1
Lightweight
Jalin Turner vs Jamie Mullarkey
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jalin Turner
Jamie Mullarkey
52%
48%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
27
Age
Δ 1y
28
16-9
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-9
W3
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Turner: 52 sig / 1 TD ·
Mullarkey: 35 sig / 1 TD
Jalin Turner
Jamie Mullarkey
37
Sig strikes landed
31
78
Sig strikes attempted
73
49
Total strikes landed
46
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
49s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
16-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
Blue corner
W2
Jamie Mullarkey
19-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
L
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—