Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Devonte Smith
Ludovit Klein
25%
75%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
11-5
Career record
Δ 9 pp
24-6-1
L1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Smith: 53 sig / 0 TD ·
Klein: 60 sig / 0 TD
Devonte Smith
Ludovit Klein
30
Sig strikes landed
31
62
Sig strikes attempted
59
42
Total strikes landed
49
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
45s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Devonte Smith
"King Kage"
11-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
Blue corner
L2
Ludovit Klein
"Mr. Highlight"
24-6-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—