Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Dustin Jacoby vs Michal Oleksiejczuk
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Dustin Jacoby
Michal Oleksiejczuk
44%
56%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
23-9-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
23-9
W2
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jacoby: 89 sig / 1 TD ·
Oleksiejczuk: 69 sig / 1 TD
Dustin Jacoby
Michal Oleksiejczuk
41
Sig strikes landed
35
99
Sig strikes attempted
90
43
Total strikes landed
39
0.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.5
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.60
29s
Control time
32s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
67%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
23-9-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
Blue corner
W2
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
23-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—