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Prelims2 Welterweight

Jeremiah Wells vs Blood Diamond

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jeremiah Wells
Blood Diamond
74% 26%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
35
Age
Δ 2y
34
W1
Current streak
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Wells: 15 sig / 1 TD · Diamond: 1 sig / 0 TD
Jeremiah Wells
Blood Diamond
26
Sig strikes landed
17
62
Sig strikes attempted
36
54
Total strikes landed
25
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.9
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
292s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Jeremiah Wells

14-4-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
Blue corner

Blood Diamond

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
34