Back to UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Prelims2 Heavyweight

William Knight vs Maxim Grishin

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 ·Toyota Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
William Knight
Maxim Grishin
22% 78%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
78"
34
Age
Δ 4y
38
12-5
Career record
Δ 1 pp
32-11-2
W2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Knight: 21 sig / 3 TD · Grishin: 69 sig / 0 TD
William Knight
Maxim Grishin
30
Sig strikes landed
37
61
Sig strikes attempted
78
45
Total strikes landed
56
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
107s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

William Knight

"Knightmare"
12-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
Blue corner
L1

Maxim Grishin

"Maximus"
32-11-2
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
L UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—