Prelims2
Bantamweight
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Sergey Morozov
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Sergey Morozov
68%
32%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
37
Age
Δ 4y
33
30-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
20-5
W1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Silva de Andrade: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Morozov: 32 sig / 1 TD
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Sergey Morozov
42
Sig strikes landed
38
106
Sig strikes attempted
89
57
Total strikes landed
55
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.9
1.2
Takedowns attempted
6.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
73s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
30-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
Blue corner
W1
Sergey Morozov
20-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—